Here are the facts - for 2005
Traffic deaths were 1.47 for every 100 MILLION miles driven.
Sources: msnbc.msn.com/id/14470457/ NTSB report therein
www-fars.nhtsa.dot.gov/
GA Accident rates - Fatalities were 1.2 for every 100,000 HOURS flown.
Nall Report:
aopa.org/asf/publications/05nall.pdf
You need to simply convert the hours flown into miles and that requires assumptions, my assumption is 175mph. This takes into account the fast hours flown by private jets but the millions more actual hours flown by planes which can only travel 100-125mph, Cherokees and Skyhawks.
My Math is:
100,000 hours time 175mph = 17,500,000 miles flown per 1.2 fatality.
100,000,000 divided by 17,500,000 gets you a factor to multiply the GA accident rate to an equivalent 100,000,000 miles driven / flown. This factor is 5.714. This gives you the answer, or
6.85 fatalities per 100 Million miles flown.
So, you are FIVE times more likely to die in a GA accident than in a car accident. Even if you riase the average speed to 500mph NOT possible, since not even the jets are cruising at those speeds all the time you still are TWICE as likely to die in a GA accident as in a car.
The numbers are WORSE for single engine personally owned than they are for multi-engine turbine business operations. So, if you own and operate a single engine airplane your risk of dying in a GA accident is TEN times higher than that of dying in a car accident.
That number can be significantly reduced by obtaining and maintaining proficiency with an instrument rating and operating safely, meaning taking little risk with icing, avoiding tstrorms etc.
The flip side is that most GA accident rates are caused by flying into weather exceeding piliot or aircraft capability and poor maintenance history for the airplane, such as flying with known problems or not fixing things that are broken but do not directly affect airworthiness until they do, usually at the worst time in the worst place.
I’ll tell you, I personally have flown THREE airplanes that were invovled in crashes after I put the tail number in the logbook. I know of two people killed in GA accidents in the last 4 years.
How many people do you know who died in car accidents in the last 4 years? Then ask all your friends. The pilots all likely know of people, the earthbound car drivers, probably much less so.
The numbers do not lie.