break even divide by seats = make no money ticket price. Add profit and compare that number to what the market will bare or what the big airline contract will pay. Add $5, $6, $?? per gallon for JetA. Turboprops are coming back, see other posts on this topic.
With the way fuel prices as these days and depending on the distance of the route the aircraft is to serve. Props are more efficient and profitable then most regional jets. Not to mention more spacious, take for example the Continental Express E145. Words that come to mind long, sleek, tight fit and one row of overhead bins. Now the Continental Connection Dash 8, roomy, comfortable and with the new NVS system as quite as a regional jet. The United States is far to use to regional jets, look at Europe…
How about the performance aspect. Most (not all) turbo props out perform jets on short airports with high density altitudes. I would say all if we compare a/c with the same number of seats. Look at KASE, KEGE, and KTEX on any given day. There aren’t very many, if any commuter jets going in there, just commuter turbo props. There will always be a market for turbo props, FOD is just one reason, a prop can nick a stone, but ingest a stone into a jet and it’s bad news.
takeoff performance for the do jet is 4485 feet vs 4425 for the saab. for those of you who know their math, that would be only 60 more feet. the dornier and the emb 135 have fast takeoff roles and landing distances.
Also depends on the fares bought as to what the break even point is. If everybody on the plane is paying $200 a tickets on a 21 day advance and is connecting on a 2nd flight, the break even point is much higher than a plane full of business walk up fares who are only travelling the one flight.
just for the record i believe turboprops can never be replaced with jets, look at the new DeHavilland Dash 8-Q400 and the ATR 42/72, these are more efficient in every way on routes below 400NM, the CRJ may be a tough competitor in speed but thats it,